Open data · CC-BY 4.0

Big Bear, CA cost segregation benchmarks (2026)

Engine-derived ROI data from 5 representative Big Bear-area properties. Methodology transparent below. CC-BY 4.0 — journalists, CPAs, and researchers may cite this dataset with attribution.

Three key findings for Big Bear

  1. Median engine-estimated Year-1 federal savings: $37,768 (interquartile range $29,465–$42,098, full range $14,302–$55,228) across 5 representative fixtures with purchase prices $365,000–$875,000. Assumptions: 100% bonus depreciation under OBBBA; 37% federal top marginal bracket. Individual property results vary substantially based on specific condition, renovation history, and rental treatment.
  2. Median reclassification ratio: 26.1% (interquartile range 25.0%–26.2%, full range 16.0%–26.4%). Furnished STRs sit higher in the range due to FF&E density; long-term rentals sit lower; renovation-cost-pool-driven properties span both. Your specific property may fall outside this range either direction depending on actual condition and renovation history.
  3. Median land allocation: 34.4% (interquartile range 34.2%–34.7%, full range 33.7%–37.1%). Resort-tier and high-cost-of-land neighborhoods (where the engine's premium land floor often applies) compress depreciable basis as a percentage of purchase price, but produce larger absolute dollar deductions. See the methodology note below the neighborhood table for the premium-floor mechanism.

Important framing: These are engine outputs for representative fixture scenarios, not predictions about any specific property. The cost segregation engine takes real property data (address, year built, square footage, renovation history, assessor records) and produces a study tailored to your actual property. The aggregate numbers shown here describe the Big Bear market's general profile; your specific results will reflect your specific property.

Per-fixture results

Each fixture was run through the Cost Seg Smart engine — the same engine that produces real customer studies. Numbers below are reproducible from cities/bigbear.json via scripts/run_city_stats.py.

Property Neighborhood Price Basis Land % 5-yr 15-yr Reclass % Y1 fed savings @ 37%
Big Bear Lake Lakefront SFR
SFR · STR · Built 1998
Big Bear Lake (city, lakefront) $875,000 $571,638 34.7% $110,304 $35,725 26.1% $55,228
Moonridge Ski Cabin
SFR · STR · Built 2008
Moonridge (Bear Mountain Resort base) $685,000 $430,591 37.1% $83,634 $27,730 26.4% $42,098
Big Bear City SFR STR
SFR · STR · Built 2002
Big Bear City (unincorporated) $485,000 $318,984 34.2% $57,316 $20,900 25.0% $29,465
Fawnskin Lakeview Cabin
SFR · STR · Built 2015
Fawnskin (north shore) $595,000 $390,380 34.4% $75,975 $24,132 26.2% $37,768
Sugarloaf Rural LTR
SFR · Built 1995
Sugarloaf (eastern, rural) $365,000 $242,178 33.7% $22,358 $16,297 16.0% $14,302

Reclassification by property type

Engine property typeFixturesMedian reclass %MinMax
SFR 5 26.1% 16.0% 26.4%

"STR" denotes residential property operating as a short-term rental — the engine applies an FF&E density uplift not captured in the LTR (long-term rental) treatment.

Typical land allocation by neighborhood

NeighborhoodTypical valueTypical land allocationProfile note
Big Bear Lake (city, lakefront) $825,000 ~28% City of Big Bear Lake proper — incorporated, subject to the city's STR permit regime. Lakefront premium and walkable proximity to Big Bear Village. Mid-rise lakefront condos and SFR mix.
Moonridge (Bear Mountain Resort base) $685,000 ~26% Ski-resort base sub-market at Bear Mountain ski lifts. Cabin and chalet stock with strong winter ADR. Slightly inland from the lake but ski-accessible.
Big Bear City (unincorporated) $485,000 ~22% East of the city proper, unincorporated San Bernardino County — no city STR permit but state and county registration apply. Lower entry pricing, larger lot sizes, year-round resident mix.
Fawnskin (north shore) $595,000 ~30% North shore of Big Bear Lake — smaller community, lakefront and lake-view premium. Higher land allocation due to view/lake-frontage scarcity. Boutique STR product.
Sugarloaf (eastern, rural) $365,000 ~18% Easternmost sub-market, rural cabin and SFR stock. Lowest entry pricing, lowest land allocation, weaker STR demand profile — often a long-term-rental crossover or owner-occupied retreat.
Why per-fixture engine output may differ from the typical land allocation:

The "typical land allocation" column reflects baseline patterns for each sub-market based on county assessor records and statistical modeling. For specific properties where reconstruction cost (RSMeans 2024 component build-up adjusted for time and geography) exceeds 2.0× the implied depreciable basis after subtracting the baseline land — the engine applies a premium land floor (~50%) to keep the study within audit-defensible territory. This typically affects ultra-premium resort inventory (ski-in/ski-out, beachfront, view-premium properties), where land scarcity premium dominates the purchase price. The per-fixture table above shows the actual land_source used by the engine for each fixture — values of statistical_premium_floor indicate the premium-floor mechanism was applied.

The takeaway: typical neighborhood allocations describe the market baseline. Individual property results depend on specific reconstruction-cost-vs-purchase-price ratios, and ultra-premium product may show higher land allocation in the engine output than the neighborhood typical.

California tax context

California state position on §168(k) bonus depreciation:

California decouples from federal §168(k) bonus depreciation. The federal 100% bonus restored by OBBBA in 2025 reduces your federal liability, but California requires the deduction to be added back on Schedule CA (540), with the basis depreciating on the regular MACRS schedule for state purposes. For a Big Bear owner in California's top 13.3% bracket, that means roughly 13 cents of every dollar of accelerated reclassification is recovered on the state return — the headline federal-savings number overstates total tax savings by a meaningful margin.

Decoupling: California's decoupling is permanent and structural, not a temporary policy choice — it predates the federal §168(k) provision. For Big Bear cost-seg planning, model the federal benefit as your primary win and treat any California state savings as recovered slowly over the regular MACRS schedule.

State income tax structure: Progressive — California's top bracket is the highest state-level individual rate in the United States

Verify with your CPA. State tax conformity for federal §168(k) is adjusted frequently. Framing reflects our understanding as of May 2026 — verify current-year treatment with a qualified tax professional.

Methodology

Every figure on this page is reproducible. The pipeline:

  1. Fixture definition. 5 Big Bear-area properties defined in cities/bigbear.json under the engine_fixtures array, each with address, property type, purchase price, year built, square footage, and STR/LTR flag.
  2. Engine run. The script scripts/run_city_stats.py instantiates a PropertyInput for each fixture and calls engine.run_study() — the same path that produces a real customer study.
  3. Base costs. RSMeans 2024 construction-cost data by component category, applied as base-rate per square foot.
  4. Time index. BLS Producer Price Index (Construction Materials series WPUFD49207) adjusts RSMeans 2024 dollars to acquisition-date dollars.
  5. Geographic factor. Six-tier resolver: pinned metros → calibrated → manual → state → region → national default.
  6. Land allocation. County assessor records when reliability gate passes; statistical fallback (metro → state → national medians) otherwise. Premium floor applies when reconciliation factor (rf_raw) exceeds 2.0.
  7. MACRS classification. IRS Pub. 946 + Rev. Proc. 87-56 asset class lives — 5-year (personal property), 7-year (office equipment), 15-year (land improvements), 27.5-year (residential structure), 39-year (commercial structure).
  8. Bonus depreciation. 100% — the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA, signed July 2025) permanently restored 100% bonus for property placed in service in 2025 and later.
  9. Federal tax savings illustration. Computed at the 37% top marginal bracket. Actual savings vary by taxpayer; consult your CPA.

For full methodology details including QC validation, reconciliation logic, and audit-defense documentation, see costsegsmart.com/methodology.

Citation

This dataset is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. You may republish, remix, or extend this data for any purpose with attribution. Suggested citation format:

Cost Seg Smart Research Team. (2026). "Big Bear, CA Cost Segregation Benchmarks 2026." Cost Seg Smart. 5 representative fixtures.
Retrieved from https://bigbearcostseg.com/data/bigbear-cost-seg-stats/

For interview requests, additional data slices, or related questions: [email protected].

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